Are Mortgage Rates Going Down?
Regardless of the reason, we can all appreciate that interest rates have been surging throughout Australia for a bit too long now, but are mortgage rates going down at last?
Some of the early signs we’ve had in 2025 this far would indicate that they genuinely are. For instance, on the 20th of May 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, which was actually its first reduction in years.
The RBA noted that inflation has “fallen substantially since the peak in 2022” and growth was well below targets. So with inflation being back towards the 2-3% target and the economy sluggish, financial markets quickly began pricing in further rate cuts.
So, what does all that mean? In short, many economists now see the RBA shifting into easing mode for the rest of 2025.
Cash Rate Movement in 2025
Over the last few months, the RBA have made it public that they plan on, albeit cautiously, pivoting. Governor Michele Bullock described the May move as a “cautious” rate cut, noting the Board had even considered a larger cut but chose to move carefully.
Observers point out that inflation has eased significantly and is expected to return to the 2-3% range a lot sooner than we all initially thought, while GDP growth remains weak. Some analysts are forecasting the cash rate to reach about 3.6% by July, with another 25bp cut in August.
In effect, Reserve Bank policy has shifted from tightening to a much more gradual easing plan (The RBA is the sole issuer of monetary policy).
So if inflation keeps falling and the economy stays soft, markets expect the RBA to cut again later in 2025. We’ll get into what kinds of impact this can have shortly.
Passing on the Cuts
As to be expected, a lot of the big lenders out there moved pretty fast to match the RBA. On the same day, the 20th of May 2025, NAB announced it would cut its standard variable home loan rate by 0.25% (effective from the 30th of May). Within hours, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) said it would also cut its home loan variable rates by 0.25% (effective from the 30th of May), and ANZ announced the same 0.25% reduction.
Westpac followed suit, cutting its variable home loan rates by 0.25% for both new and existing borrowers (effective from the 3rd of June). Even Macquarie Bank lowered its variable home loan rates by 0.25% from the 23rd of May. You get the picture. In effect, nearly every major mortgage lender passed on the RBA’s rate cut to customers, but what does that entail?
Effect on Monthly Repayments
The good news is that these cuts translate into real dollar savings on monthly repayments. For example, CBA estimated that a 0.25% cut saves about $80 per month on a $500,000 owner-occupier loan under principal-and-interest repayments.
Larger loan amounts, of course, save more per basis-point: a 0.25% cut on a $600,000 loan would save roughly $100 per month. After two consecutive cuts, CBA noted many homeowners will “start to see a more meaningful change month to month” in their budgets. In other words, for average Australians carrying large home loan balances, even a quarter-point cut frees up hundreds of dollars each month.
Fixed vs Variable Mortgages
Most borrowers focus on variable-rate mortgages because those move with the cash rate. But fixed rate mortgages have been adjusting, too. Some banks actually cut fixed deals in anticipation.
In early 2025, Macquarie cut its 1- to 3-year fixed home loan rates by up to 0.16%, which naturally made them very competitive. In fact, many lenders now advertise lower fixed rate promotions than a few months ago.
If you have a fixed-rate loan now, your rate won’t change until that fixed term ends. But when your fixed term rolls off or if you take a new fixed-rate deal, you’ll find it set at a lower interest rate than before (be sure to compare principal-and-interest vs interest-only options and note the comparison rate whenever you’re looking at any fixed offer).
Exploring Your Options – What It Means for Borrowers
All things considered here, the trend is overall pretty good for borrowers. Lower interest rates means smaller monthly repayments on new and existing loans. That said, you’ve still got to compare the whole-of-loan cost, not just the headline rate.
Fortunately, Australian rules require lenders to display a comparison rate that includes most fees, along with a comparison rate warning. For example, CommBank’s disclosure notes: “Comparison rate is true only for the examples given and may not include all fees and charges”.
So this warning basically just reminds us that these advertised rates may exclude certain fees, and that two loans with the same nominal rate can have different total costs once things like fees and loan term are factored in.
Using Comparison Tables and Product Documents
When you’re thinking about choosing a home loan, try to take full advantage of some of the tools you have available. Many websites offer comparison tables that line up standard variable and fixed rates across lenders.
These tables are a solid way of spotting low advertised rates quickly. But after that, dive into each loan’s detail – look at the product information. Every home loan product has a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and a Target Market Determination (TMD) from the lender (the product issuer).
These documents spell out details like:
- Who the loan is designed for
- Its fees and charges
- Its key conditions
The TMD in particular will highlight the typical borrower’s objective financial situation . In short, just make sure any loan matches your situation. Loan amounts and term length matter too – a lower interest rate on a large loan still means big payments, and vice versa.
Important Information and Disclaimers
Try to keep in mind here that everyone’s objectives and financial situation are different, so don’t just immediately take what we’re saying here as financial advice – it’s not.
Always make sure you’re reviewing all of the important information provided by the lender before acting on anything. Read the product disclosure statement (PDS) and target market determination (TMD) for any loan you consider.
Furthermore, we strongly recommend that you check the “Important Information” section of any of those documents for fees, and watch for any “comparison rate warning” or similar fine print.
Opportunities for Existing Borrowers
With the RBA cutting its cash rate and most lenders now responding appropriately, the overall trend is toward cheaper home loans than a year ago. Good news!
Keep an eye on rate announcements – when banks cut rates, it often pays to lock in a lower rate or refinance soon after. To put all this simply, borrowers who are informed and compare loan options are always going to benefit the most when home loan interest rates go down.
How Upscore Can Help
Ready to secure a loan? You’ll be able to compare offers from different lenders when you use Upscore’s free Finance Passport service, which is a solid way of getting the best loan terms for your circumstances. This can be a real advantage, whether you’re refinancing your Australian home loan or buying property overseas.